Conditions are looking conducive for tropical storm formation near east Florida. An area of low pressure over the Bahamas is expected, within the next 5 days, most likely on Continue reading First Tropical Storm of 2016
Tag Archives: tropical
Hurricane Outlook 2016
The Colorado State University, Klotzbach hurricane outlook report has been published. The models have been run and the stats are in. Go take a look. Link below.
The document is somewhat dense, but still interesting if you can scan for the relevant information. The beginning sections of the document are sort of like a review of the methods for generating this report. The report starts to get interesting around Section 5 (ENSO) and 6 (Current Atlantic Basin Conditions). Section 5 suggests the outlook regarding El Nino vs La Nina is somewhat unsure at this early stage in the season. Section 6 says the north Atlantic is somewhat cool because of the north Atlantic oscillation, and it’s unsure at this point if the cooling will trend downward toward tropical waters. Overall the forecast numbers are about average. Section 7 reviews the season’s adjusted estimates, which is the primary output of this report.
