The surf has been flat for a while now, since Hermine. There is a boundary of air just above Louisiana, but it’s going to pull out of the south and into the northeast. It isn’t going to dip into the gulf. In the coming weeks cooler air will begin entering our area with troughs dipping far enough south to change our weather. They will start out mild, but once October rolls around, we will begin to get surf. With the increasingly fall like pattern, increasingly stronger cold fronts will get us into spring-suits, then wetsuits. The water temperature is at 85 degrees right now, but the mild cold fronts will decrease nighttime temps. Lower nigh-time temperatures will slowly bring down the water temperature. With a few decent cold fronts the water will quickly drop 10 degrees or more. There is usually one cold front mild enough to wear a spring-suit, then the cold wind will quickly put us into full-suits. Surf is coming.
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Cold Front
There is a mild cold front boundary just to the north of us. Unfortunately, it isn’t quite that time of year yet, but it is helping the air start to feel a little more like Fall. You’ll also notice the sun gradually start setting earlier and earlier. Fall surfing is coming!