A low is expected to spin up by Monday afternoon or Tuesday. Tuesday mid-day the west swell spinning off the center of the low should be reaching the coast. The weather change looks like an increase in the rain chances, humidity, and a strengthening south wind. We’ll be surfing the gulf in this precursor to the hurricane season.
Tag Archives: gfs weather model
Weather Forecast: The Next Cold Front Edging Closer
Tomorrow morning the winds come up from the south southwest. As the front gets closer, closer to the afternoon/evening, the winds shift slightly more southwest, and increase in strength up to around 15 knots. The afternoon/evening is when we can expect the decent little swell to start filling in. Overnight the front passes and the gradient tightens over the northern gulf. The alignment of the gradient will pull the winds into a westerly and west southwest direction; the winds shift west above the 1012 line, and west southwest/southwest below the 1012 line (image 1 below). So, breezy on Saturday, and overnight Saturday night. The winds start south and shift west as the front gets closer passes, then northwest/north winds fill in behind as the front pulls out. The winds could be moderately strong, around 20 knots overnight. By morning, the winds go pretty much slack. Whatever swell is leftover should linger through the morning. The temps don’t change much from the low 80s, and the water is right around the low 70s. The temperatures look pretty comfortable for this one. I wouldn’t miss it. It won’t be anything like a hurricane, but it looks like fun!
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Surf Forecast for Wednesday 24th & Thursday 25th
On Wednesday another cold front moves into the gulf and brings up the surf. I can see there being surf all day Wednesday and all day Thursday. It starts out as a southwest swell on Wednesday, gusting to 20 knots or higher. Winds could be in excess of 20 knots on Wednesday during the day, seas reaching 5 feet or more by evening. Thursday morning the swell will peak around 6 feet or more. Expect highs in the mid 80s with a rain chance of about 60% on Wednesday and 40% on Thursday. Don’t forget to check in for the surf’s up surf report to see what’s happening at the beach.