Tag Archives: weather
Something Big and Gnarly Might Be Coming
The Navy GFS model seems to think something big and gnarly could be a week away from entering the gulf, that’s next Monday. The National Hurricane Center doesn’t have anything developing in the next 5 days. The Navy GFS is usually a pretty good forecast model for tropical systems. What do you think? Is that system in the carribean that’s being called a ridge by the National Weather Service going to morph into something that’s going to send us pumping head high surf? Check out the image of the ridge from today around 7pm below.
Continue reading Something Big and Gnarly Might Be Coming
A Labor Day Southy
Corrrection: all things are the same, just the timing is Tuesday. Swell comes up around Tuesday 6am.
Micah is suggesting we could see a small wave on Sept 03, Memorial Day from southy flow created by a small tropical system. The first image below shows what the gradient looks like on National Center for Environmental Research’s latest GFS forecast model run. This looks like a pretty cool display template for the model data output. It shows sea level pressure with the winds. Based on the 11:30 output the winds look a bit too southeast to me, particularly for north of the bay. The US Navy weather model is showing the winds from the tightening pressure gradient with the bulge a little better than the NCER model. It’s showing this change on the 6pm Memorial Day slide in the image below. We’ll just have to wait to see what happens. It would be nice to have a little birthday swell.
